Hopes for stability and lasting peace in Afghanistan in the foreseeable future seem unlikely

2022-06-10 0 By

Is a rift between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban imminent?In an article for Al Jazeera, Pakistani political researcher Dr. Reza Khan discusses the future of Pakistan’s relationship with the Afghan Taliban.He believes tensions with the Pakistani Taliban over demarcation and violence could damage relations between Islamabad and Kabul.With the fall of ashraf Ghani’s government, which had strained relations with Pakistan, and taliban rule in Kabul, Islamabad is happy to be one of the main supporters of the Taliban on the world stage, calling for world recognition and assistance, began Khan, a press release by Amaj.But in recent months, he said, there have been cracks across the border and signs of support from the Afghan Taliban for the Pakistani Taliban.Khan said that if these issues are not resolved, it could lead to a rift in relations between the two countries, which will have important implications for Pakistan’s national security and regional stability.In the early days of the Taliban occupation of Afghanistan, Khan writes, former ISI chief Faiz Hamid went to Kabul to form a pro-Pakistan cabinet among the Haqqanis and prevent Mullah Ghani Baradar from taking over the government.Because he believes Mullah Baradar has been hostile to Pakistan in the past, but the Haqqanis are believed to have close ties to Islamabad.But the arrangement has raised eyebrows in some quarters of the Taliban leadership.Dr Khan went on to explain the border tensions, citing statements by the Taliban and Pakistan as signs of disagreement.He quoted Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid as saying, “This means the division of a country.”Pashtuns on both sides of durand.But a Pakistani army spokesman responded, “The blood of our martyrs will flow and the work will be done.”According to Khan, the Taliban are sticking to the same traditional positions as Karzai and Ghani and show no sign of conceding to Pakistan.The Pakistani researcher went on to discuss the Pakistani Taliban, saying the Pakistani Taliban has been fighting alongside the Afghan Taliban for years against the United States and its Allies and has close ties.He added that Pakistani Taliban leaders, some of whom are based in Afghanistan and supported by the Afghan Taliban, have been released from prison after the taliban’s capture of Kabul.Khan added that the Pakistani Taliban had been energized by the Afghan Taliban’s victories and that the Afghan Taliban’s mediation had not worked.He believes the violence could escalate and put further pressure on the Afghan Taliban’s relationship with Pakistan.He noted that the potential for violence to escalate was high.Finally, Dr Khan said, there is no evidence to solve the problem of boundary, the situation continue will exacerbate tensions, the more attacks of the Pakistani taliban will threaten the people of Pakistan and the deterioration of relations between China and Pakistan reza khan believes that the situation continues, will force to keep close touch with the taleban Pakistan officials, under internal pressure and the situation in China,Stop the global campaign to support the Taliban and increase support for anti-Taliban groups.If Kabul loses its main foreign supporter, Dr Khan argues, it will have one of two options to respond: try to get closer to the West and the US, or retreat to its past role as host to insurgent regions.Terrorist networks and networks.She believes the first option will be difficult to achieve because the West has made it clear it wants strong guarantees of women’s and minority rights and democratic institutions before dealing with the Taliban.But their government is unlikely to move in that direction, given the hardliners’ significant influence over the group’s leadership.As a result, it seems more likely that the Afghan Taliban will become more radicalized and re-engage with other armed groups and terrorists.They may provide more support to the TTP and its attacks in Pakistan, and may start working with ISIS and aL Qaeda.Finally, Dr. Khan writes that the situation in Afghanistan under Taliban control will be so complex and uncertain in the coming months that the hope of achieving stability and lasting peace in the foreseeable future seems unlikely.